Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $3.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19% · Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% | $669k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $609k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 99% · No 2% | $560k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $491k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 37% · John McEntee 3% · Nikki Haley 1% | $384k |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | TheMongolz 32% · Natus Vincere 69% | $329k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiji34 | Up | $148.22 |
| 0x1031… | Up | $56.09 |
| icebergMilki | Up | $10.57 |
| Berche78 | Up | $8.79 |
| ddmmd | Up | $6.33 |
| boppbop | Up | $5.50 |
| xxcrt | Up | $4.95 |
| 0xfc44… | Up | $4.94 |
| tong0913 | Up | $3.70 |
| gh.4 | Up | $3 |
| rjz7789 | Up | $2.70 |
| chenshang02 | Up | $1.65 |
45 wallets held a position at the close. The 26 biggest winners took $268; the 19 biggest losers gave up $110. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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