No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $5.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 4? | 21°C 95% · 22°C 5% · 23°C 0% | $28k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 89% · 31°C 12% · 32°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 4? | 74-75°F 60% · 72-73°F 32% · 76-77°F 7% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 4? | 15°C 90% · 16°C 7% · 17°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 4? | 15°C 60% · 16°C 22% · 14°C 20% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 4? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 60% · 11°C 27% · 9°C 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 4? | 11°C 67% · 10°C 21% · 12°C 9% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $113.89 |
| hello.67 | No | $69.52 |
| twobonclay | No | $35.74 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $34.25 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $20.81 |
| Bilberry | No | $18.17 |
| szdxrftgyh | No | $16.12 |
| haiwenxiang | Yes | $14.08 |
| ImBadAtMath | No | $10.10 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $9.89 |
| 3636yuchensu | No | $9.76 |
| DoraemonDingDong | No | $8.66 |
102 wallets held a position at the close. The 49 biggest winners took $491; the 53 biggest losers gave up $455. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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