No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $10k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 91% · 14°C 4% · 15°C 2% | $56k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 55% · 33°C 41% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 60% · 28°C 22% · 30°C 14% | $17k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 46% · 17°C 29% · 15°C 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 47% · 21°C 46% · 22°C 5% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 6? | 14°C 60% · 15°C 22% · 13°C 17% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 6? | 30°C 62% · 31°C 32% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | No | $217.48 |
| god83743894 | No | $35.81 |
| twobonclay | No | $18.26 |
| krbrv | No | $17.42 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $16.50 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $12.45 |
| giuselon | No | $11.80 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $11.02 |
| 0x567 | No | $9.84 |
| Bilberry | No | $9.58 |
| Traingman | No | $7.09 |
| whhisky | No | $6.82 |
90 wallets held a position at the close. The 49 biggest winners took $451; the 41 biggest losers gave up $723. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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