Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $5.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 91% · 14°C 4% · 15°C 2% | $56k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 55% · 33°C 41% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 60% · 28°C 22% · 30°C 14% | $17k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 46% · 17°C 30% · 15°C 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 47% · 21°C 46% · 22°C 5% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 6? | 14°C 60% · 15°C 22% · 13°C 17% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 6? | 30°C 62% · 31°C 32% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $575.44 |
| 0x9506… | Yes | $125.25 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $46.67 |
| AuspiciousWolf | Yes | $42.13 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $26.47 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $19.64 |
| 0x5f3e… | Yes | $18.80 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $16.66 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $16.36 |
| HHR-TEST1 | Yes | $13.40 |
| pastey | Yes | $7.86 |
| ForeverAlone69 | Yes | $6.45 |
69 wallets held a position at the close. The 31 biggest winners took $963; the 38 biggest losers gave up $453. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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