Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $8.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 95% · 14°C 2% · 15°C 1% | $53k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 57% · 33°C 35% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 64% · 28°C 24% · 30°C 13% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 46% · 17°C 35% · 15°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 21°C 57% · 20°C 25% · 22°C 11% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 39% · 11°C 19% · 10°C 5% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 6? | 14°C 55% · 15°C 24% · 13°C 16% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $300.99 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $100.00 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $63.24 |
| nailongbaobao | Yes | $61.73 |
| 3636yuchensu | Yes | $40.72 |
| 0x9c3d… | Yes | $35.99 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $32.61 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $31.44 |
| Poligarch | Yes | $27.40 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $25.30 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | $21.83 |
| 0x4ba2… | Yes | $21.15 |
146 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 59 biggest losers gave up $762. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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