No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $3.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 4? | 21°C 95% · 22°C 5% · 23°C 0% | $28k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 89% · 31°C 12% · 32°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 4? | 74-75°F 60% · 72-73°F 32% · 76-77°F 7% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 4? | 15°C 90% · 16°C 7% · 17°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 4? | 15°C 60% · 16°C 22% · 14°C 20% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 4? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 60% · 11°C 27% · 9°C 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 4? | 11°C 67% · 10°C 21% · 12°C 9% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x3340… | No | $19.22 |
| hello.67 | No | $6.97 |
| MrBPT | No | $6.72 |
| Smallbet8 | Yes | $2.86 |
| twobonclay | No | $1.95 |
| ZedXian | No | $1.75 |
| wolfprkm-1 | Yes | $1.54 |
| 0xabeb… | No | $1.29 |
| mashuuuu | No | $1 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $0.91 |
| ajosss | No | $0.90 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.72 |
38 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $47; the 23 biggest losers gave up $111. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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