No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $8.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 97% · 14°C 3% · 15°C 1% | $56k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 57% · 33°C 42% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 66% · 28°C 20% · 30°C 14% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 42% · 15°C 34% · 17°C 21% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 55% · 3°C 44% · 4°C 2% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 9°C 51% · 10°C 36% · 8°C 12% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 21°C 53% · 20°C 39% · 22°C 4% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $260.93 |
| 1132 | No | $69.55 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $66.94 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $40.63 |
| VAPAPORRA | No | $32.99 |
| 241532532432 | No | $31.72 |
| Thermomenal | No | $26.31 |
| bryant666888 | No | $12.15 |
| fkpd | No | $11.95 |
| ghorrock | No | $10.99 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $10.90 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $10.25 |
87 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $670; the 45 biggest losers gave up $443. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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