No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 76¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $561k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $330k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 39% · No 61% | $223k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $207k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $133k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $128k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $120k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Poory | No | $134.00 |
| orkho | No | $96.11 |
| 0xea91… | No | $17.60 |
| SuSuDORIS | No | $16 |
| 0x619d… | No | $14.45 |
| 0xd0d1… | No | $7.60 |
| C6H6 | No | $7.09 |
| Olcan | Yes | $4.01 |
| fivebooms | No | $3.59 |
| PPMT | Yes | $1.19 |
| annont | No | $0.53 |
| 0x80fe… | Yes | −$60 |
28 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $302; the 17 biggest losers gave up $236. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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