Scarlett Fagan won. Smart money backed Karla Bartel (3 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $2.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 35% · IA 10% · IA, KS 9% | $3.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Raptors 14% · Lakers 87% | $724k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 8% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $645k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0000. | Scarlett Fagan | $866.19 |
| Danshan11 | Scarlett Fagan | $40.06 |
| castorcurse | Scarlett Fagan | $8.14 |
| AntiVaxxer | Scarlett Fagan | $3.12 |
| 0x5aa1… | Scarlett Fagan | $2.59 |
| MinasMorgul | Scarlett Fagan | $2.21 |
| zlSobrinho | Scarlett Fagan | $2.10 |
| PantherGambler | Scarlett Fagan | $1.60 |
| Yanis2603 | Scarlett Fagan | $1.32 |
| olegautak | Scarlett Fagan | $0.78 |
| alpheclabs2 | Karla Bartel | −$331.11 |
| noclevername | Karla Bartel | −$15.21 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $928; the 10 biggest losers gave up $386. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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