Georgii Kravchenko won. Smart money backed Garrett Johns (2 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $540. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $2.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $1.5M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $667k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xc07 | Georgii Kravchenko | $35.75 |
| 0x956d… | Georgii Kravchenko | $6.55 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Georgii Kravchenko | $2.73 |
| eFMBS | Garrett Johns | −$37.02 |
| ashfaqdb | Garrett Johns | −$4.00 |
| 0xakwz | Garrett Johns | −$3.55 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Garrett Johns | −$1.04 |
| 7figtc | Garrett Johns | −$0.53 |
8 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $45; the 5 biggest losers gave up $46. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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