Josefina Estevez won. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $880k |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Legacy 23% · B8 77% | $863k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Josefina Estevez | $2k |
| 0xc07 | Josefina Estevez | $221.00 |
| clownly | Josefina Estevez | $98.19 |
| lryyy | Josefina Estevez | $84.48 |
| 0xakwz | Josefina Estevez | $18.60 |
| 0x6318… | Josefina Estevez | $13.61 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Josefina Estevez | $10.64 |
| lgSosa | Josefina Estevez | $2.01 |
| MonteKristo | Josefina Estevez | $0.99 |
| 0x954d… | Josefina Estevez | $0.95 |
| signalso | Luciana Moyano | −$88.16 |
| timurdrevoz | Luciana Moyano | −$54.74 |
24 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $2.4k; the 14 biggest losers gave up $275. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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