Frazier Rengifo won. Smart money backed Matias Soto (2 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $4.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.1M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio | SS Lazio 32% · Cagliari Calcio 13% | $955k |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 93% · Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF) 7% · Real Racing Club 2% | $890k |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 55% · Under 45% | $661k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $633k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% | $487k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Frazier Rengifo | $538.71 |
| 0xc07 | Frazier Rengifo | $248.18 |
| alpheclabs2 | Frazier Rengifo | $204.71 |
| 0x6221… | Frazier Rengifo | $17.36 |
| 0xa789… | Frazier Rengifo | $17.06 |
| 0xedce… | Frazier Rengifo | $17.06 |
| bennnyyetts1 | Frazier Rengifo | $0.58 |
| ded33 | Matias Soto | −$404.39 |
| 0x58e8… | Matias Soto | −$303.69 |
| Nikitos11190 | Matias Soto | −$261.27 |
| timurdrevoz | Matias Soto | −$149.20 |
| playboycart | Matias Soto | −$120.09 |
26 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 19 biggest losers gave up $1.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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