No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $1.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 91% · 14°C 4% · 15°C 2% | $56k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 55% · 33°C 41% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 60% · 28°C 22% · 30°C 14% | $17k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 46% · 17°C 29% · 15°C 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 47% · 21°C 46% · 22°C 5% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 6? | 14°C 60% · 15°C 22% · 13°C 17% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 6? | 30°C 62% · 31°C 32% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dami-1 | No | $33.37 |
| Bilberry | No | $33.35 |
| dub2-CF | No | $29.11 |
| gghff | No | $8.94 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $7.76 |
| 0x3340… | No | $6.45 |
| matmoont | No | $1.95 |
| Welcome2026 | No | $1.35 |
| 0xb0f3… | No | $1 |
| Shiba-Inu | Yes | $0.80 |
| fvankers | No | $0.68 |
| daegoth | No | $0.54 |
24 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $125; the 12 biggest losers gave up $67. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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