No 97% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 79¢). Volume $2.2k, liquidity $3.8k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $318k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $263k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $174k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $162k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $117k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $110k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 830 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 242 |
| 0x169441 | Yes | 123 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 40 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| alexbronsh | Yes | 25 |
| taerv534 | Yes | 24 |
| lpbcq | Yes | 20 |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq | Yes | 15 |
| Petty.Bourgeoise | Yes | 11 |
| ScientiaRex | No | 827 |
| Inchoroi | No | 167 |
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