Thunder won. Smart money backed Pacers (11 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $5.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 7% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 63% · Fenerbahçe SK 18% | $777k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $722k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 17% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $651k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| monjkhkh | Thunder | $61k |
| SiggytheShork | Thunder | $52k |
| EthiopianArcher | Thunder | $43k |
| peter003 | Thunder | $23k |
| Plutonium94 | Thunder | $19k |
| MoneyMaker888 | Thunder | $17k |
| GoldenGate | Thunder | $17k |
| anonymus8 | Thunder | $16k |
| Degen12 | Thunder | $14k |
| Stackinggg | Thunder | $13k |
| 0x7fb7… | Thunder | $7k |
| tofurkey12 | Thunder | $6k |
1,398 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $332k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $527k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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