Who is the smart money on “OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?

No 59% · Yes 42%. Volume $3.3k, liquidity $66. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
59%
Yes
42%
Volume
$3.3k
Liquidity
$66

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 112 known shares

smellyElliewhale
entry 54¢ · P&L $114k · win 53%
estoicc
entry 65¢ · P&L $9.5k · win 60%

No

2 wallets · 70 known shares

kakprotrades
entry 49¢ · P&L $53 · win 55%
Crazykekbr
entry — · P&L -$74 · win 58%

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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
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France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
No 99% · Yes 1% · 24h volume $24k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 100% · Yes 1% · 24h volume $24k

FAQ

What are the odds for “OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 59% · Yes 42%, on $3.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?

live

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

41.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

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Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Which company has the best AI model end of October?	Google 97% · Anthropic 1% · OpenAI 1%	$231k	$137k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$111k	$69k
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 56% · Anthropic 32% · xAI 1%	$65k	$310k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 68% · Anthropic 26% · Meta 1%	$49k	$47k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes 14% · No 86%	$46k	$99k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$34k	$791k
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$24k	$40k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes 1% · No 100%	$24k	$89k

Smart-money conviction · Other

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Smart-money conviction