Shopify Rebellion won. Smart money backed Outlast (4 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 20% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.4M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Nikki Haley 1% · Rick Scott 0% | $940k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 82% | $736k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $655k |
| Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés | Draw (Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés) 94% · Sevilla FC 3% · Deportivo Alavés 2% | $495k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $483k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $439k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x6027… | Shopify Rebellion | $4.33 |
| gekan10080 | Shopify Rebellion | $3.75 |
| VibeBetting2 | Shopify Rebellion | $3.21 |
| 0xe37f… | Shopify Rebellion | $3.11 |
| dfwllsdfj | Shopify Rebellion | $2.61 |
| JohaSA | Shopify Rebellion | $2.39 |
| 0x3241… | Shopify Rebellion | $1.51 |
| 0xf066… | Shopify Rebellion | $1.20 |
| ezp-gk-16 | Shopify Rebellion | $0.81 |
| AntiVaxxer | Shopify Rebellion | $0.80 |
| iwillbe | Shopify Rebellion | $0.64 |
| 0x498b… | Outlast | −$9.99 |
23 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $24; the 12 biggest losers gave up $31. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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