Yes 88% · No 12%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 86¢). Volume $5.2k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $465k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $297k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $227k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $200k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $160k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $154k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $137k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $124k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SakuraDevil | Yes | 828 |
| Cattail | Yes | 373 |
| Outsmarter | Yes | 358 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 264 |
| 0xc09c…bb6b | Yes | 171 |
| henos | Yes | 150 |
| theitaliangoats | Yes | 126 |
| manu354 | Yes | 115 |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 93 |
| 0x0524…1479 | Yes | 50 |
| 0x9b1d…b29c | No | 491 |
| A1VENGO | No | 307 |
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