Who is the smart money on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?”?

Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?

No 60% · Yes 41%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). Volume $16k, liquidity $49k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
60%
Yes
41%
Volume
$16k
Liquidity
$49k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 2,357 known shares

smellyElliewhale
entry 40¢ · P&L $111k · win 53%
gesst
entry 44¢ · P&L $47k · win 61%
makemoney2025
entry 40¢ · P&L $22k · win 88%

No

1 wallets · 58 known shares

KrackenSrusterwhale
entry 56¢ · P&L $277k · win 67%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 60% · Yes 41%, on $16k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?

live

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

40.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 50% · Gadi Eizenkot 24% · Naftali Bennett 7%	$14.1M	$1.5M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$301k	$168k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$189k	$117k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$140k	$156k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$127k	$85k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$115k	$47k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$78k	$300k
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$77k	$32k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction