Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 83% · AEK 8% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 64% · Fenerbahçe SK 16% | $777k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 17% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $777k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 9% · No 91% | $722k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 196874353278 | Down | $114.12 |
| 196874353278 | Up | $20.14 |
| 0xc583… | Down | $19.51 |
| Mofayed | Up | $16.03 |
| vedaresearch.sol | Down | $10.45 |
| johnpudricion | Down | $10 |
| flexer78 | Down | $9.90 |
| dddd123ab | Down | $9.40 |
| jk6889 | Down | $8.32 |
| 0xd535… | Down | $7.62 |
| alexiosof | Down | $4.93 |
| bbbd34 | Down | $3.80 |
33 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $252; the 10 biggest losers gave up $307. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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