Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens | Jaguars 83% · Ravens 17% | $2.8M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 65% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.3M |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 47% · Suns 53% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Kamala Harris 4% | $991k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $981k |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) | Jaguars 54% · Ravens 46% | $674k |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Heat 39% · Warriors 61% | $625k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $579k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| chessplayer | Yes | $359.54 |
| leurop0 | Yes | $266.43 |
| 0x5bc3… | Yes | $42.72 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | $22 |
| univacca | Yes | $8.07 |
| 0x3340… | Yes | $3.35 |
| chiriloi | Yes | $3.27 |
| CristoRey | Yes | $1.61 |
| chessplayer | No | −$256.13 |
| leurop0 | No | −$172.45 |
| verybadtrader | Yes | −$62.02 |
| verybadtrader | No | −$47.30 |
19 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $707; the 11 biggest losers gave up $629. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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