No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $22k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% | $91k |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $61k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $44k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $34k |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $33k |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 84% · No meeting by December 31 14% · United States 0% | $31k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $26k |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Useerna | No | $380.95 |
| David69818 | No | $103.60 |
| Olcan | No | $74.37 |
| KairoNexus | No | $40.18 |
| Minty-Witch-Fillet | No | $36.31 |
| 0x701f… | No | $34.87 |
| xasd-440 | No | $32.31 |
| SickandTired | No | $22.14 |
| lorry3122 | No | $20.83 |
| Leonyou | No | $20.27 |
| Seldon26 | No | $20.02 |
| Nagykiraly | No | $8.28 |
60 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $860; the 23 biggest losers gave up $731. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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