What are the odds for “US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?” on Polymarket?

No 96% · Yes 4%, on $399k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?”?

Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $399k, liquidity $117k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$399k
Liquidity
$117k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

6 wallets · 10,971 known shares

eightpenguinswhale
entry 13¢ · P&L $303k · win 55%
peterfromfamilyguy
entry 13¢ · P&L $49k · win 59%
881112whale
entry 17¢ · P&L $459k · win 40%
BetZilla
entry 17¢ · P&L $13k · win —
UniLB
entry 4¢ · P&L -$582 · win 11%
Contestable-Parfaitwhale
entry 66¢ · P&L $192k · win 50%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $399k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?”?: Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

live

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

3.6%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Gadi Eizenkot 55% · Benjamin Netanyahu 26% · Naftali Bennett 10%	$7.4M	$705k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$330k	$187k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$215k	$141k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$157k	$122k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 90% · No 10%	$122k	$91k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$98k	$30k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$84k	$311k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$80k	$60k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction