0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942
browne on Polymarket: $66k total P&L, 74% win rate, 350 markets traded, $2.8M volume. Ranked #276 in Economics.
See the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $34k | 70¢ | 96¢ | $9k |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | $10k | 91¢ | 97¢ | $609.66 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | $10k | 96¢ | 97¢ | $92.94 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | No | $6k | 88¢ | 95¢ | $408.75 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | $5k | 95¢ | 97¢ | $115.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | $6k | 41¢ | 49¢ | $472.49 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | Yes | $3k | 97¢ | 100¢ | $58.09 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | $3k | 68¢ | 75¢ | $207.72 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | $2k | 92¢ | 94¢ | $39.66 |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | Yes | $3k | 43¢ | 59¢ | $387.59 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | No | $1k | 89¢ | 96¢ | $78.95 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $1k | 92¢ | 92¢ | −$5.70 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | $1.7M | $131k | 7% | 61.5% | $27.7M |
| ratehikes | $245k | $91k | 3.2% | 1.6% | $6.3M |
| ethBELIVER | $258k | $60k | 8.4% | 47.1% | $4.5M |
| Yeueu | $38k | $38k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| Adrink3D | $43k | $38k | 4% | 63.8% | $1.1M |
| odsowner | $3k | $26k | 3.2% | 49.2% | $4.7M |
| TruongMyLan | $15k | $25k | 2% | 50.9% | $4.9M |
| baran-ludoman | $6k | $25k | 2.8% | 48.5% | $3.2M |
| 0x06b2… | $143k | $24k | 3.3% | 49.2% | $2.8M |
| neuroplasticompany | $21k | $20k | 12% | 42.2% | $187k |