Yes won. Smart money backed No (38 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $2.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 22% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $3.2M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 56% · BetBoom Team 44% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $939k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $823k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $482k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 29% | $423k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul | Ben Shelton 53% · Tommy Paul 47% | $420k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 16% | $396k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| baran-ludoman | Yes | $7k |
| cashy | No | $3k |
| AlanYagami-T | Yes | $3k |
| 0x3ac4… | Yes | $3k |
| Newshound | Yes | $3k |
| 0x1890… | Yes | $2k |
| ThePREDICTORRRR | Yes | $2k |
| abolgari | Yes | $2k |
| Zubumafu | Yes | $2k |
| 0xf518… | Yes | $2k |
| saik360 | Yes | $2k |
| xvg | Yes | $1k |
2,898 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $52k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $54k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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