0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a
hopedieslast on Polymarket: $283k total P&L, 59% win rate, 259 markets traded, $10.9M volume. Ranked #284 in Politics.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | $89k | 48¢ | 88¢ | $36k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | $72k | 83¢ | 87¢ | $2k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | $48k | 93¢ | 99¢ | $3k |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | $45k | 81¢ | 87¢ | $2k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $35k | 92¢ | 95¢ | $815.07 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $25k | 83¢ | 84¢ | $83.56 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | $16k | 85¢ | 91¢ | $972.06 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | $13k | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1k |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | $10k | 90¢ | 93¢ | $255.80 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | $9k | 93¢ | 100¢ | $634.50 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | $9k | 89¢ | 90¢ | $35.06 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | $9k | 84¢ | 86¢ | $134.16 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.2M | $826k | 3.6% | 49.9% | $30.4M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $422k | $396k | 2.5% | 58.8% | $9.4M |
| defillama7 | $648k | $321k | 9.8% | 66.2% | $5.8M |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k | 59.2% | 100% | $453k |