Who is the smart money on “Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?”?

Smart money leans No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 88% · Yes 13%. Smart money leans No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢). Volume $1.1M, liquidity $27k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
88%
Yes
13%
Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$27k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 251 known shares

Leclerc04
entry 14¢ · P&L $5.1k · win 54%

No

12 wallets · 174,514 known shares

hopedieslastwhale
entry 48¢ · P&L $260k · win 59%
KrackenSrusterwhale
entry 56¢ · P&L $277k · win 67%
0x8f69…2923
entry — · P&L -$11k · win 45%
ethBELIVERwhale
entry — · P&L $362k · win 47%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 88% · Yes 13%, on $1.1M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?”?: Smart money leans No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

live

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

12.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

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Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction