Yes 84% · No 17%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 76¢). Volume $6.7k, liquidity $2.9k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $333k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $268k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $234k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $201k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $172k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $159k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $140k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $126k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pIebe | Yes | 3k |
| paddaa | Yes | 989 |
| ChinaRed | Yes | 249 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 45 |
| CT-test | Yes | 44 |
| roman-16 | Yes | 41 |
| Isekai | Yes | 40 |
| 0opj4kuu4xb2 | Yes | 35 |
| Udonsan | Yes | 30 |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef | Yes | 11 |
| BigScience | No | 2k |
| rainbowlilies | No | 1k |
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