No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $11.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $9.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.8M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $3.4M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 60% · Seahawks 41% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.5M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $837k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| analord | Yes | $83k |
| ethforever420 | Yes | $36k |
| Lfg123 | No | $15k |
| jj712 | Yes | $3k |
| bama124 | No | $3k |
| polywally | No | $2k |
| Wober | Yes | $2k |
| qwesdf43543gg | Yes | $2k |
| bluejay | No | $2k |
| bbqdumplings | No | $2k |
| RougeVert | Yes | $1k |
| VLONA | No | $1k |
1,290 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $167k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $487k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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