No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $63k, liquidity $31k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Next leader out of power before 2027? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $296k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $203k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $201k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $174k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $168k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $136k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $124k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 25% · No 76% | $123k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1ff3d3 | Yes | 7k |
| 0xdcfe…b7d3 | Yes | 6k |
| 50cents | Yes | 4k |
| ConCaMap88 | Yes | 4k |
| mehanizator | Yes | 4k |
| Mr.Octavius | Yes | 4k |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 2k |
| kaitemo | Yes | 2k |
| paddaa | Yes | 1k |
| marucho76 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 46k |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 131 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.