No 66% · Yes 34%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢). Volume $15k, liquidity $1.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 69% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 11% | $23k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 66% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $23k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $20k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 33% · November 11 24% · November 9 5% | $9k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 69% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 10% | $8k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $6k |
| Which company has #1 AI model end of January? (Style Control On) | Google 44% · Anthropic 37% | $4k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balthazar | Yes | 1k |
| lamyk | Yes | 822 |
| SingletonFamilyFund | Yes | 300 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 194 |
| Martinus- | Yes | 104 |
| navber | Yes | 75 |
| 0x08788f | Yes | 40 |
| Istaroth | Yes | 40 |
| dgfd76 | Yes | 34 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| NoTeacher | No | 128 |
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.