0xc004b035b67be284e0d1db56c39e865df6cac095
lamyk on Polymarket: $33k total P&L, 55% win rate, 549 markets traded, $558k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $7k | 50¢ | 82¢ | $2k |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | No | $5k | 6¢ | 84¢ | $4k |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | $4k | 14¢ | 98¢ | $3k |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | $2k | 15¢ | 98¢ | $1k |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | $2k | 14¢ | 97¢ | $1k |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | Yes | $1k | 97¢ | 99¢ | $29.69 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $7k | 50¢ | 18¢ | −$2k |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | Yes | $2k | 35¢ | 57¢ | $463.79 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | $1k | 65¢ | 84¢ | $256.42 |
| Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027? | Yes | $1k | 74¢ | 60¢ | −$186.98 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | $829.26 | 53¢ | 78¢ | $204.85 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | $1k | 28¢ | 52¢ | $273.28 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEEEROYJENKINS | −$3.7M | $5.2M | -9.9% | $26.1M |
| gransaaa | −$570k | $515k | -6.9% | $25.2M |
| bigspending | −$139k | $438k | -6.8% | $2.7M |
| kluckkluck | $44k | $365k | 1.7% | $4.0M |
| crisp1973 | −$433k | $361k | -5.5% | $7.3M |
| hello.67 | $261k | $332k | 3.7% | $2.0M |
| Shori888 | $46k | $281k | 8.6% | $3.6M |
| jonjones1993 | $279k | $279k | 23.6% | $1.2M |
| tikstt | $90k | $276k | -1.4% | $1.8M |
| todouzai | −$5k | $253k | -4.7% | $6.0M |