Question 1

What are the odds for “Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?” on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Yes 64% · No 37%, on $17k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Question 2

Who is the smart money on “Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?”?

Accepted Answer

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Question 3

Where does this data come from?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Question 4

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Accepted Answer

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 52% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5%	$104k	$331k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$62k	$844k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes 33% · No 67%	$38k	$93k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 72% · Anthropic 24% · OpenAI 3%	$34k	$37k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$33k	$125k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$20k	$133k
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$19k	$41k

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?

Who holds each side.

Yes

No

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Di… · odds, 1 month

Current odds

Smart money by side · known shares

Tape · this market, $500+

Other markets by 24h volume

Smart-money conviction · Other