No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $4.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 21% · No release by November 30 18% · November 11 16% | $36k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 72% · Anthropic 24% · OpenAI 3% | $32k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 34% · November 11 24% · November 9 1% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 62% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 5% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 77% · November 2–November 8 4% | $17k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 83% · 1 12% · 2 3% | $11k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 9–November 15 61% · November 2–November 8 4% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kjfghxd | No | $0.79 |
| lightsout912 | Yes | −$2.57 |
| Martinus- | Yes | −$1.80 |
| lamyk | Yes | −$1.50 |
| annont | Yes | −$1.30 |
| xlag7pf8tsmz | Yes | −$1.10 |
| Kempachi98 | Yes | −$1 |
| Feloberton | Yes | −$1 |
| NoTeacher | Yes | −$0.76 |
| navber | Yes | −$0.72 |
| Anon78996 | Yes | −$0.50 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 1 biggest winners took $1; the 10 biggest losers gave up $12. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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