No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $1.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 76% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 8% | $30k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 38% · November 11 11% · November 9 7% | $15k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $11k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · Meta 1% | $11k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $7k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| heresjimmy | No | $1k |
| JordanMooney | No | $343.65 |
| i18z | No | $340.52 |
| 0x2ca9… | No | $316.04 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | $231.56 |
| qima-001 | Yes | $209.82 |
| 0x75d1… | No | $197.67 |
| roumo | Yes | $177.46 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | Yes | $160.81 |
| win-at-all-cost | No | $158.70 |
| JzyZpZ | Yes | $144.19 |
| oracleoforanje | No | $133.65 |
1,507 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $52k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.