0x28b291aa82da13e1d58993873806c92908d5eb4f
libratus1 on Polymarket: $60k total P&L, 68% win rate, 1,156 markets traded, $3.4M volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | $3k | 87¢ | 91¢ | $114.11 |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | $1k | 86¢ | 97¢ | $155.19 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | $1k | 66¢ | 89¢ | $296.91 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | $500.55 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $9.51 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | $502 | 64¢ | 69¢ | $23.57 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | $530.74 | 84¢ | 54¢ | −$160.30 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | $1k | 75¢ | 19¢ | −$569.75 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | $84 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $4.85 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $86.12 | 90¢ | 94¢ | $3.79 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | $113.83 | 83¢ | 65¢ | −$21.48 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | $252.11 | 78¢ | 18¢ | −$151.17 |
| Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | $43.75 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $1.97 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | $273k | $341k | 3.8% | 49.2% | $2.0M |
| 0x65f7… | $80k | $171k | 4% | 31.7% | $1.1M |
| 0xeb1b… | $81k | $163k | 5% | 32.1% | $1.0M |
| 0x9506… | $22k | $110k | 2.6% | 57.6% | $1.3M |
| 0x0b08… | $2k | $76k | -1.2% | $836k | |
| 676767676767 | $120k | $73k | 15.2% | 100% | $1.0M |
| Ramdan | −$41k | $69k | -2.2% | $2.0M | |
| tompkins92 | $443.58 | $60k | -0.1% | $90k | |
| sac188 | $9k | $54k | 0.8% | $429k | |
| TunSahur | $21k | $53k | 2% | 60.7% | $1.2M |