Who is the smart money on “Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 71% · No 30%. Volume $28k, liquidity $586. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

Yes
71%
No
30%
Volume
$28k
Liquidity
$586

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 5,988 known shares

Investnow
entry 52¢ · P&L -$65k · win 39%
big-shortwhale
entry 24¢ · P&L $53k · win 70%
molodoyywhale
entry 52¢ · P&L $51k · win 58%
libratus1whale
entry 83¢ · P&L $61k · win 68%
0xdoqwkp12
entry 15¢ · P&L $1.2k · win 48%

No

0 wallets · 0 known shares

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?” on Polymarket?: Yes 71% · No 30%, on $28k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

live

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

70.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$603k	$131k	-1%
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 92% · Republican Party 9%	$419k	$7.4M
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?	320-339 27% · 340-359 22% · 300-319 16%	$186k	$46k
Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?	90-114 91% · 115-139 8% · 140-164 1%	$183k	$16k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$145k	$244k	0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 35% · No 65%	$131k	$156k	-1.2%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?	Google 96% · Anthropic 3% · OpenAI 0%	$125k	$197k
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes 82% · No 18%	$117k	$34k	25.3%

Smart-money conviction · Other

Smart-money conviction