No 78% · Yes 23%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 71¢). Volume $63k, liquidity $15k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $317k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $267k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $161k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $115k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $111k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie | Yes | 759 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 217 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 167 |
| nutter888 | Yes | 100 |
| 0x4365…e20a | Yes | 94 |
| darkn3ss | Yes | 82 |
| fvfvwww | Yes | 64 |
| needleladder | Yes | 57 |
| verybadtrader | Yes | 55 |
| 0x6b0ebb | Yes | 47 |
| 101456 | No | 719 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 423 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.