What are the odds for “Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 97% · Yes 3%, on $449k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 5¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 5¢). Volume $449k, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$449k
Liquidity
$17k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 14,374 known shares

hopedieslastwhale
entry 5¢ · P&L $260k · win 59%
Chiasharp
entry 11¢ · P&L $544k · win 34%

No

4 wallets · 4,633 known shares

vovatoxicwhale
entry 82¢ · P&L $136k · win 51%
0x8f69…2923
entry 87¢ · P&L -$11k · win 45%
VibeyQuant
entry 86¢ · P&L $36k · win 63%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $449k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 5¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

live

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

2.8%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$301k	$118k	3%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 96% · No 5%	$193k	$165k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$126k	$65k	0.4%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$98k	$77k	0%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 65% · No 35%	$82k	$31k	-0.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes 36% · No 65%	$79k	$97k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 52% · No 48%	$65k	$78k	-2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 73% · No 28%	$50k	$71k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction