What are the odds for “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 96% · Yes 4%, on $90k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Volume $90k, liquidity $21k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$90k
Liquidity
$21k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.3%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1k97%
No323%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 71% · No 29%	$1.2M	$109k	-24.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$429k	$253k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$391k	$23k	-43.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 40% · No 60%	$223k	$148k	-3.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$206k	$474k	-0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes 14% · No 86%	$142k	$59k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$139k	$26k	-45.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$126k	$458k	0%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3.4¢ask 4¢spread 0.6¢mid 3.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

403.4¢

4¢34

3023.3¢

4.1¢560

4633.2¢

4.3¢50

1003.1¢

4.4¢50

653¢

4.6¢136

1792.8¢

4.7¢337

4202.7¢

5¢2.3k

4472.6¢

5.2¢455

2002.5¢

5.6¢103

8202.4¢

6¢263

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
pandannn	Yes	7k	18¢	$1k	$0.00
wan123	Yes	6k			$1.2M
RememberAmalek	Yes	3k			$835k
Fullvie	Yes	2k			$8k
K10576	Yes	1k	4¢	$43.08	−$4k
aaIrbet	Yes	1k	18¢	$185.32	$7k
0x7272…a67d	Yes	1k	8¢	$80	$20k
Dragontree	Yes	850			$159k
0x6992…6c1d	Yes	707			$727.70
thecaricature	Yes	550			−$8k
devin.lawson.77	No	11k	90¢	$5k	$8k
FATMAN	No	7k	82¢	$5k	$12k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$33k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$24k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$3k
6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$1k
8US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 1,000 known shares

0x7272…a67d
entry 8¢ · all-time +$20k · win 56%

No

2 wallets · 32 known shares

tzquantalpha001
entry 88¢ · all-time +$1.5k · win 60%
balerinacapuchina
entry — · all-time +$38k · win 71%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $90k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Volume $90k, liquidity $21k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$90k
Liquidity
$21k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.3%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1k97%
No323%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 71% · No 29%	$1.2M	$109k	-24.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$429k	$253k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$391k	$23k	-43.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 40% · No 60%	$223k	$148k	-3.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$206k	$474k	-0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes 14% · No 86%	$142k	$59k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$139k	$26k	-45.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$126k	$458k	0%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3.4¢ask 4¢spread 0.6¢mid 3.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

403.4¢

4¢34

3023.3¢

4.1¢560

4633.2¢

4.3¢50

1003.1¢

4.4¢50

653¢

4.6¢136

1792.8¢

4.7¢337

4202.7¢

5¢2.3k

4472.6¢

5.2¢455

2002.5¢

5.6¢103

8202.4¢

6¢263

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
pandannn	Yes	7k	18¢	$1k	$0.00
wan123	Yes	6k			$1.2M
RememberAmalek	Yes	3k			$835k
Fullvie	Yes	2k			$8k
K10576	Yes	1k	4¢	$43.08	−$4k
aaIrbet	Yes	1k	18¢	$185.32	$7k
0x7272…a67d	Yes	1k	8¢	$80	$20k
Dragontree	Yes	850			$159k
0x6992…6c1d	Yes	707			$727.70
thecaricature	Yes	550			−$8k
devin.lawson.77	No	11k	90¢	$5k	$8k
FATMAN	No	7k	82¢	$5k	$12k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$33k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
3US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$24k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$3k
6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$1k
8US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 1,000 known shares

0x7272…a67d
entry 8¢ · all-time +$20k · win 56%

No

2 wallets · 32 known shares

tzquantalpha001
entry 88¢ · all-time +$1.5k · win 60%
balerinacapuchina
entry — · all-time +$38k · win 71%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $90k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.