No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $514. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $1k |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027? | Yes 26% · No 74% | $1k |
| Top 14: RC Vannes vs Union Bordeaux Begles | Union Bordeaux Begles 54% · RC Vannes 36% · Draw 2% | $885.72 |
| 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner | Javokhir Sindarov 76% · Gukesh Dommaraju 25% | $604.13 |
| Will Riley Newman / Layne Sleeth advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $372 |
| Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $222.07 |
| Will Kate Fahey / Federico Staksrud advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | Yes 25% · No 75% | $180 |
| Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes 100% · No 1% | $114.00 |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| annont | No | $0.90 |
| pupka-zalupka | No | $0.84 |
| papakilofoxtrot | Yes | −$6.67 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | −$4.85 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | −$2.06 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | −$1.35 |
6 wallets held a position at the close. The 2 biggest winners took $2; the 4 biggest losers gave up $15. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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