No 78% · Yes 23%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢). Volume $47k, liquidity $56k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 8% · IA, KS 7% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $736k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 53% · Josh Turek (D) 49% | $591k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sorbonne1910 | Yes | 6k |
| PantheraUncia | Yes | 5k |
| flywheel | Yes | 4k |
| Addarash | Yes | 2k |
| Joseph88 | Yes | 2k |
| TouchDownThana | Yes | 1k |
| Gdub | Yes | 1k |
| ragutwo | Yes | 961 |
| Runner109 | Yes | 874 |
| 0x7f88…f76e | Yes | 795 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 18k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 6k |
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