No 85% · Yes 15%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢). Volume $18k, liquidity $45k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $5.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73% · Mike Rogers (R) 27% | $919k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 18% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $832k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 29% | $545k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 58% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $491k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6k |
| jan-delarus | Yes | 809 |
| bearlow2 | Yes | 804 |
| 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl | Yes | 586 |
| fendop | Yes | 564 |
| villa20 | Yes | 539 |
| lava-lava | Yes | 466 |
| RadioCCOD | Yes | 423 |
| Rayse | Yes | 393 |
| BIsLosingMoney | Yes | 368 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 13k |
| Haradwaith | No | 670 |
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