No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $510. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 74% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 4% | $31k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 25% · No release by November 30 15% · November 9 2% | $23k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 73% · Anthropic 23% · OpenAI 4% | $20k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 9% · 2 2% | $18k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $16k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 38% · November 11 24% · November 14 0% | $14k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $8k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · xAI 1% · DeepSeek 0% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kaswar | Yes | $0.90 |
| anothercoin | No | $0.66 |
| jackli003 | Yes | $0.64 |
| 0x8296… | Yes | −$2.49 |
4 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $2; the 1 biggest losers gave up $2. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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