Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $507k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 57% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 4% | $40k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 66% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $38k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 30% · November 10 26% · November 9 5% | $27k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 6 29% · November 12 18% · No release by November 30 7% | $14k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 74% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 5% | $11k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $11k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 24% · No 76% | $6k |
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