No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢). Volume $31k, liquidity $19k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $247k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $203k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mikelaawrey | Yes | 1k |
| ACara | Yes | 1k |
| nufonehudis67 | Yes | 918 |
| paddaa | Yes | 869 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 694 |
| johnnath1222 | Yes | 640 |
| crypto-basenji | Yes | 467 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 412 |
| mousetrap301 | Yes | 364 |
| GollumGekko | Yes | 322 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 10k |
| 32rsisgursa | No | 100 |
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