Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $1.1M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $333k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Donald Trump Jr. 2% · Ivanka Trump 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $158k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0% | $137k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $50k |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $36k |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | Yes 30% · No 71% | $27k |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 87% · No meeting by December 31 11% · United States 1% | $22k |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $21k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Gohst | Yes | $3k |
| aiyuanc | Yes | $3k |
| yydyjds | No | $2k |
| nurpolet | Yes | $934.05 |
| michale2 | Yes | $881.10 |
| sabrila | Yes | $866.25 |
| feidao00 | Yes | $801.90 |
| Jan777 | Yes | $760.79 |
| mocamoca | Yes | $704.00 |
| usolndhs | Yes | $548.60 |
| Azrarn | Yes | $461.73 |
| toywy | Yes | $418.54 |
1,008 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $22k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $19k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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