Politics · Trump · live

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?

No 70% · Yes 31%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢). Volume $8.7k, liquidity $76. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
70%
Yes
31%
Volume
$8.7k
Liquidity
$76

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?

live

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

69.5%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes68151%
No64749%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Trump markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$206k	$234k	0.1%
Presidential Election Winner 2028	Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0%	$158k	$1.2M
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes 8% · No 92%	$92k	$38k	-15.5%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	Donald Trump 2% · Donald Trump Jr. 2% · Ivanka Trump 1%	$59k	$2.0M
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes 21% · No 80%	$57k	$29k	1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$40k	$170k	0.2%
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?	200+ 81% · 180-199 6% · 160-179 6%	$12k	$12k
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?	China 82% · No meeting by December 31 13%	$11k	$87k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
Haradwaith	Yes	177	−$429k
smellyEllie	Yes	155	$114k
Rex416	Yes	120	$40k
kanhaoleaha	Yes	115	−$346.07
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	72	$173k
pppnn	Yes	50	−$81k
0x28a665	Yes	44	$462.44
notrandom2	Yes	43	$3k
theflamingodancestheflamenco	Yes	42	$156.49
0x462996	Yes	30	−$7k
0xf163…81fe	No	337	$22.43
anoin123	No	152	−$4.5M

Smart-money conviction · Trump

Smart-money conviction

1Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$31k
2Trump out as President before 2027?$5k
3Trump out as President before 2027?$5k
4Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$2k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

13 wallets · 681 known shares

Haradwaith
entry — · all-time −$429k · win 47%
smellyElliewhale
entry 51¢ · all-time +$114k · win 53%
Rex416
entry — · all-time +$40k · win 50%
pppnn
entry 57¢ · all-time −$81k · win 46%
0x28a665
entry 22¢ · all-time +$462 · win 49%
notrandom2
entry — · all-time +$3.0k · win 43%

No

11 wallets · 647 known shares

0xf163…81fe
entry 56¢ · all-time +$22 · win 74%
anoin123
entry — · all-time −$4.5M · win 51%
Dr.mett
entry 99¢ · all-time +$16k · win 88%
GuyFromTinder
entry 52¢ · all-time −$102k · win 44%
0xc7d0…1f8awhale
entry — · all-time +$343k · win 49%
Flingflonger
entry 50¢ · all-time −$70 · win 49%

More Trump markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 70% · Yes 31%, on $8.7k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?”?: Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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