Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 74¢) and lost. Volume $4.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 29% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 83% · No change 18% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $1000k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $723k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $456k |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 19% · Galatasaray 0% | $417k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| botbot | Yes | $10k |
| operationcastle | Yes | $7k |
| 0xFJAFJKLDSKF7JKFDJ | Yes | $7k |
| zerosmart | Yes | $6k |
| eunice-561 | Yes | $6k |
| marketguy123123 | Yes | $6k |
| kocinakn | Yes | $4k |
| aadvark | Yes | $3k |
| GUHHH | Yes | $3k |
| BitcoinerRetired | Yes | $3k |
| SchmittBurnham | Yes | $3k |
| mrmotion | Yes | $2k |
585 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $77k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $296k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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