No 82% · Yes 18%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢). Volume $51k, liquidity $10k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 56% · 16-19 18% · <12 6% | $974.89 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | <5 68% · 5-6 28% · 9-10 1% | $560.85 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $388.36 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 72% · 120-139 25% · 180-199 6% | $367.22 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $341 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $309.15 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $272.37 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $236 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 3k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 2k |
| dedidanc | Yes | 2k |
| jkerkela | Yes | 2k |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 975 |
| haouibao | Yes | 525 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 285 |
| tryrktry | Yes | 285 |
| xiaoaojiang | Yes | 260 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 207 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 13k |
| lottonakamoto | No | 475 |
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